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My Final Warnings for Q2: The Softs Collapse and Macro Black Swans

My Final Warnings for Q2: The Softs Collapse and Macro Black Swans

Posted on April 14, 2026April 13, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

I’ve just published the final installment of my Q2 2026 Commodity Outlook. While everyone is watching the war in the

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Brazil, cocoa, coffee, crude oil, Iran, Middle East, war
Dalian is Screaming: What the LPG Spike Means for Our Portfolios #ChartOfTheDay

Dalian is Screaming: What the LPG Spike Means for Our Portfolios #ChartOfTheDay

Posted on April 13, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

I’ve been watching the Dalian Commodity Exchange closely this morning, and the move in LPG is nothing short of historic.

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ChartOfTheDay, China, India, LPG
Peace Talks and Price Gaps: Why Europe is Diving While Asia Holds Firm #ChartOfTheDay

Peace Talks and Price Gaps: Why Europe is Diving While Asia Holds Firm #ChartOfTheDay

Posted on April 8, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

The energy landscape shifted significantly this morning. As news of a two-week ceasefire between the USA/Israel and Iran hit the

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Israel, JKM, LNG, Middle East, NatGas, TTF
Copper Deficits and Empty Silos: My Industrial & Ag Outlook for Q2

Copper Deficits and Empty Silos: My Industrial & Ag Outlook for Q2

Posted on April 7, 2026April 3, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

I’ve been looking at the data for Q2 2026, and while everyone is distracted by the “Third Gulf War,” I’m

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aluminium, copper, corn, fertilization, food, NatGas, rapseed, wheat
Statistical Probability for Gold – Easter 2026 (video)

Statistical Probability for Gold – Easter 2026 (video)

Posted on April 5, 2026April 4, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

How does gold typically behave during the Easter season, and what do the statistics tell us about April 2026?

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gold, statistics, USD
The Polar Silk Road: Why the Arctic is the Future of Energy Hegemony

The Polar Silk Road: Why the Arctic is the Future of Energy Hegemony

Posted on April 5, 2026April 3, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

The race for energy supremacy has moved to the Arctic. While traditional markets face volatility, the alliance between Russia and

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Arctic, China, LNG, NatGas, Russia
Why I Believe $5,000 gold is just the beginning for Q2 2026?

Why I Believe $5,000 gold is just the beginning for Q2 2026?

Posted on April 4, 2026April 3, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

I’ve been tracking the precious metals markets for years, but I’ve never seen a setup quite like this. We are

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FED, gold, U.S. dollar index, USD, war
Survival of the Fittest: Why Coal and Uranium are Dominating the Q2 Energy Mix

Survival of the Fittest: Why Coal and Uranium are Dominating the Q2 Energy Mix

Posted on April 2, 2026April 1, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

The energy map is being redrawn in real-time. The crisis in the Persian Gulf has sent ripples far beyond the

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Australia, Canada, coal, LNG, Middle East, NatGas, uranium, USA, war
Why the Coffee Supply Chain is Hitting a Climate Wall

Why the coffee supply chain is hitting a climate wall?

Posted on April 1, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

New data from RaboResearch reveals a massive shift in arabica suitability. With up to 20% of current areas at risk

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Brazil, coffee, commodities news
$120 Oil? The Strategic Impact of the Third Gulf War

$120 Oil? The Strategic Impact of the Third Gulf War

Posted on March 31, 2026March 27, 2026 by Bogusz Kasowski

The Strait of Hormuz is blocked, and the energy markets are reacting with surgical precision. As we move further into

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China, crude oil, Iran, USA, war

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